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Writer's pictureWikistrat

Special Report: The Russian Threat to Invade Ukraine

Updated: Sep 20, 2023

Tensions over the Russian threat to invade Ukraine are at their highest level since 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea. Although Russia says it has no plans to invade, US intelligence believes that as many as 175,000 Russian troops could become involved as early as January of 2022. In light of recent events, Wikistrat consulted ten world-renowned experts on Russia, Ukraine, and military affairs to assess the viability of the Russian threat to Ukraine




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10 world-leading experts answered 9 strategic questions:

  • How real is the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine?

  • Why could Russia invade Ukraine?

  • What would be the outcome?

  • What can Ukraine do in order to deter Russia from initiating an invasion?

  • What could deter Putin from ordering an invasion of Ukraine?

  • Which outcome is the least predictable and controllable for Russia?

  • How effective would a Russian strategic bombardment campaign against Ukraine be? What goals would it aim to achieve?

  • How would Russia respond to the West providing logistical/intelligence support to Ukraine?

  • How effective would a limited Russian campaign against Ukraine be?


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