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The Bicentennial Woman - A New Wikistrat Simulation

Updated: Sep 19, 2023

At the beginning of January 2020, Wikistrat will run a one-week simulation that will explore the life journey of the world’s first woman to reach the age of 200.


Background:

Human life expectancy at birth remained around 30 years from the Upper Paleolithic era (50,000 BCE to 10,000 BCE) right through to the dawn of the 20th century. Thanks largely to vaccines and other advances in medicine, today human life expectancy at birth is much higher.


In the US, it is 78; in Israel, it is 82; while Japan registers the highest national values at 83 years for men and 86 for women. In general, women tend to “out-expect” men by two to four years around the world and ultimately outlive males by, on average, almost five years.

Western women have seen their life expectancy at birth rise by 2.5 months each year for the last 250 years, accelerating to three months per year since the late 19th century.


Half of the women born in the advanced world today will live beyond 100 years, and with the 21st century promising to be the “century of biology,” one can plausibly conceive of a human – most logically a woman – finally breaking the 200-year barrier. Indeed, some experts believe that the first “Bicentennial Woman” (BCW) has already been born.



About the simulation:

At the beginning of January 2020, Wikistrat will run a one-week simulation that will explore the life journey of the world’s first woman to reach the age of 200.


The primary assumption of the simulation is that, within the next century, a human being will be born who lives to such a ripe (but not necessarily satisfying) old age. The caveat is that although this person will almost certainly be a woman – given current gender disparities in life expectancy – there is not a gender imbalance in the population.


In the simulation, participants will be asked to explore the Biomedis (biomedical sciences/ engineering), Medical Technologies and other factors leading to the first Bicentennial Woman.


This simulation is a collaborative exercise with the partnership and consultation of Oranit Ido, a health-tech innovation specialist.


Dates:

January 1st to January 5th 2020


Registration: In order to participate, please register in advance here.

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